Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franzia Sunset Blush rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Intuition Cotes du Rhone Red red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.09 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jaume Serra Bouquet Rose Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Round Pond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Varichon et Clerc Privilege Blanc de Blancs Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +3% if it rises |
| Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Blanc 2022 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Chenin Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Scolca Gavi 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Los Helechos Designado Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Milbrandt Family Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.43 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pertico Pinot Grigio Alto Adige white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Two Vintners Zinfandel Wahluke Slope 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Boutinot Les Cerisiers Cotes du Rhone Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafaggio Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Boom Boom Syrah Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Appalachia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nine Hats Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Pedro 1865 Select Vineyards Carmenere Maipo 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Crios Rose of Malbec Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.53 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Blanc Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Amore Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Charles Smith Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Rose Columbia Valley rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Claude Mas Jardin de Roses Rose Languedoc 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Matua Rose Marlborough rosé · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Williams and Humbert Dry Sack Medium Sherry with Glass dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $8.99 Sale | ▼ 4.3% | ▼ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Brilla Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cappella Sant Andrea Clara Stella Vernaccia di San Gimignano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Benuara Rosso Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Il Casato Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Illuminati Ilico Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Los Monteros Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Perusini Merlot Colli Orientali del Friuli 2021 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,351–2,400 of 6,416← PreviousNext →