Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francine Bachelier Reserve du Sanglier Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pike Road Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Primo Amore Moscato Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.90 $11.96 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Thomas Tradition Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pascal Jolivet Attitude Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa des Anges Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | 19% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Paul Jourdan Reserve des Oliviers Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riff Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine Gerard Millet Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Blanck Classique Riesling Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Columbia Valley white · Washington · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Crest Sauvignon Blanc H3 Horse Heaven Hills white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Glen Ellen Chardonnay Reserve white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 29.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terra Fageto Fenesia Pecorino Offida 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Mini Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chacewater Orange Muscat Lake County 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Fiou Terroir Silex Sancerre 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| FitVine Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | ▲ 16.1% | 20% premium | 21% typically +4% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $46.79 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Fruit Moscato 4x375 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Christopher Michael Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Suavia Soave Classico 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Les Elements Gewurztraminer Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $60.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| F E Trimbach Gewurztraminer Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bosman Family Vineyards Generation 8 Chenin Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Luna Di Luna Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| McManis Family Vineyards Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 20% premium | 1% |
| Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013 white · 375 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 4% |
| Jacques Saumaize les Creuzettes Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Moscato Lazio 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Gazela Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | 20% premium | 2% |
| Map Maker Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terrazze dell'Etna Ciuri Vino Bianco 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Medalla Real Sauvignon Blanc Gran Reserva Leyda Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Cailbourdin Les Racines Pouilly Fume 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Cristina Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 3.8% | — | 21% premium | 4% |
| Reinhold Haart Riesling Piesporter Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Skouras Assyrtiko 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehaven Windward Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Pinot Grigio Lazio 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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