Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gai'a Monograph Agiorgitiko Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hunt and Harvest Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast 2020 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Riesling Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Plumpjack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.4% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Vermentino Costa Toscana 2020 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wildfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andre Delorme Blanc de Blanc Brut Reserve sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantine Leuci Primile Primitivo Salento Rosso 2022 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Curriola Tinto Tejo 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Winery Riesling Santa Barbara County 2024 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hermann J Wiemer Magdalena Vineyard Cabernet Franc Finger Lakes 2022 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacques Bardelot Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.03 $41.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Miha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati David's Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee Reserve 2019 red · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TAHI Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Christopher Michael Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Bastide Saint Dominique Chateauneuf du Pape 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomme Doublee Apple Spritz Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vina Santa Rita 120 Sauvignon Blanc Central Valley Reserva Especial white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien Magnum 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $168 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Diemersdal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Cape 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Sunnyview Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Rivers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Boissonneau Les Geais Abouriou Cotes du Marmandais 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vino San Estaben Malbec Reserve red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fontareche Vieilles Vignes Corbieres Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2022 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $41.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Daniel Pollier Macon Fuisse 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.5% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Jean Claude Mas L'Artisan Le Chardonnay Pays dOc 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Miha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Rivers River Red Blend Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Alanera Rosso Veronese 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bar Dog Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.83 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cigar Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $9.23 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Marques de Casa Concha Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley or 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Inglenook Vineyard Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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