Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Gai'a Monograph Agiorgitiko Peloponnese 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hunt and Harvest Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$4.93 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Justin Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast 2020
white · Central Coast · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Riesling Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $13.99 Sale▲ 3.7%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced5%
Plumpjack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$30.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 3.4%Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Le Colonne Vermentino Costa Toscana 2020
white · Tuscany · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Wildfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.19 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Andre Delorme Blanc de Blanc Brut Reserve
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced1%
Cantine Leuci Primile Primitivo Salento Rosso 2022
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Curriola Tinto Tejo 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fess Parker Winery Riesling Santa Barbara County 2024
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Hermann J Wiemer Magdalena Vineyard Cabernet Franc Finger Lakes 2022
red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml
$26.99——Fairly priced1%
Jacques Bardelot Champagne Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$25.03 $41.59 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Miha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional Red 2020
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Recanati David's Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee Reserve 2019
red · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
TAHI Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
Christopher Michael Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Bastide Saint Dominique Chateauneuf du Pape 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2020
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pomme Doublee Apple Spritz Sparkling Wine
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +8% if it rises
Vina Santa Rita 120 Sauvignon Blanc Central Valley Reserva Especial
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +10% if it rises
Allan Scott Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Black Box Pinot Noir
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $5.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +12% if it rises
Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien Magnum 2020
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$168 $280 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Talbot Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.93 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro Organic
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +7% if it rises
Diemersdal Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Cape 2023
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$8.33 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Golden Gate Cellars Chardonnay California
white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Long Shadows Pirouette Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49▲ 4.2%—Fairly priced11%
typically +7% if it rises
The Calling Pinot Noir Sunnyview Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2017
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Three Rivers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Vignobles Boissonneau Les Geais Abouriou Cotes du Marmandais 2021
red · 750 ml
$11.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vino San Estaben Malbec Reserve
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 9.1%Fairly priced<1%
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$23.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fontareche Vieilles Vignes Corbieres Rouge 2020
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles Willow Creek District 2022
white · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$41.99 $44.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Daniel Pollier Macon Fuisse 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J Roget Spumante
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.39 0.0%▲ 17.5%Fairly priced13%
typically +11% if it rises
Jean Claude Mas L'Artisan Le Chardonnay Pays dOc 2023
white · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Miha Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Three Rivers River Red Blend Columbia Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zenato Alanera Rosso Veronese 2019
red · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bar Dog Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.83 $14.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 12.3%Fairly priced1%
Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cigar Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi 2020
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$9.23 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Concha y Toro Marques de Casa Concha Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley or 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Inglenook Vineyard Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.03 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
2,301–2,350 of 9,968← PreviousNext →