Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beaux Freres The Beaux Freres Vineyard Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $35.93 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bootleg Prequel Red Wine Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso Verrazzano 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Bellevue Peycharneau Sainte Foy Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dutton Goldfield Pinot Noir Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Middle Sister Sweetie Pie Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Ema Select Terroir Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Triacca La Gatta Valtellina Superiore 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 7 Moons Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Ben Glaetzer Wallace Shiraz Grenache Barossa Valley 2017 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Nouveau red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kalyana Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Carmenere Trinidad Vineyard Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Malbec Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Badger Mountain Winery NSA Cabernet Sauvignon Organic 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot on Tap Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Italian Christmas Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Kermit Lynch Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Beaumonts Chorey Les Beaune Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melville Pinot Noir Estate Sta. Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merayo Las Tres Filas Mencia Bierzo 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $15.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raphael Sallet Macon Uchizy Les Maranches 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yves Cheron Les Dentelles Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 689 Cellars Killer Drop Red Wine California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Big Smooth Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biodynamic Petite Syrah Mendocino California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Box Wize Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres La Maldita Garnacha Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Demarie Barolo Classico 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Spinetta Timorasso Derthona 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lydian GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stel Mar Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Syrah Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Dolcetto Alba 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
2,301–2,350 of 5,705← PreviousNext →