Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 $23.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 14.3%Fairly priced3%
Villa Carume Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2020
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$7.13 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Artesa Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$44.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jean Claude Mas L'Artisan Le Chardonnay Pays dOc 2022
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Laurenz V Singing Gruner Veltliner 2023
white · 750 ml
$16.99——Fairly priced1%
Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +11% if it rises
Rozes Vintage Porto 2017
dessert · Douro · 750 ml
$43.79 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Seguinot Bordet Chablis 1er Cru Fourchaume 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Tenuta Le Colonne Vermentino Costa Toscana 2021
white · Tuscany · 750 ml
$7.53 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Annabella Chardonnay Napa Valley
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.34 $18.69 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cave du Chateau de Chenas Terres Burgondes Fleurie 2023
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2020
red · Loire · 750 ml
$18.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2020
white · 750 ml
$7.53 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$33.53 $112 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Luca Bosio Dark Red Semi Sweet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.23 $13.49 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Noble Vines 446 Chardonnay Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49▲ 3.8%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced3%
Old Kakheti Sparkling Pink Georgia 2020
sparkling · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Olema Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2023
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.99 $19.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Podere Brizio Rosso di Montalcino 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Real Rosado Rioja 2024
rosé · Rioja · 750 ml
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ben Marco Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$22.99 $23.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chasing Venus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$8.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dievole Chianti Classico 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Auslese 2021
white · 375 ml
$31.99 $33.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jean Claude Mas Chateau de Conas Carignan Reserve Vielles Vignes 2020
red · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Pouilly Fuisse
white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$35.99 0.0%▲ 28.6%Fairly priced9%
typically +5% if it rises
Mazza Vineyards The Perfect Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.39 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +9% if it rises
Salentein Killka Museum Series Malbec Uco Valley Mendoza Estate 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Julia La Mantis Pet Nat Natural Maipu 2024
red · 750 ml
$18.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Tetramythos Retsina Roditis 2021
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
WALT Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$13.93 $43.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Larroque Bordeaux Blanc 2022
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Besson Petit Chablis 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$20.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2021
white · Loire · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
PlumpJack Estate Merlot Oakville 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$47.99 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ruffino Chianti Classico
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 27.3%Fairly priced4%
Bodegas Vegalfaro Caprasia Anfora Bobal Crianza Utiel Requena 2020
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Delaforce Fine Tawny Porto
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Spinona Barolo Bergera 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Riondo Prosecco Rose 2021
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Villaviva Cotes de Thau Rose 2021
rosé · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$36.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Blanc Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2021
white · Provence · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2024
white · Loire · 750 ml
$19.99 $22.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
E Guigal Chateau d'Ampuis Cote Rotie 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$200 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fess Parker Frontier Red Lot 211 Central Coast
red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
2,251–2,300 of 9,968← PreviousNext →