Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2021
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Neleman Organic Vineyards Bobal Robusta 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Raphael Sallet les Maranches Macon Uchizy 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
WALT La Brisa Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$26.39 $43.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cune Ribera del Duero Tinto
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Dixie and Bass Columbia Valley Red Blend 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
H3 Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills
red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99▼ 5.9% 0.0%Fairly priced5%
Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Holiday Finger Lakes
red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%Fairly priced2%
Kosmic Kitty Pinot Noir 2023
red · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$8.73 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$300 $1,000 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Marcel Giraudon Aligote Bourgogne 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Firefly Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +9% if it rises
Freelander Cabernet Sauvignon 2023
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mitravelas Red on Black Nemea 2020
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017
red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml
$325 $650 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Real Crianza Rioja Alavesa 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$13.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
19 Crimes Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced4%
Barefoot Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%▲ 12.5%Fairly priced6%
typically +11% if it rises
Coppi Siniscalco Primitivo Puglia 2018
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Creamery Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Cune Crianza Rioja Alta Tinto
red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +7% if it rises
Emiliana Novas Organic Carmenere Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Bourgogne Rouge 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.93 $22.89 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Juniata Valley Winery Red Headed Stepchild
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.59 0.0%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced26%
typically +6% if it rises
Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $19.99 Sale▼ 3.8%▲ 11.1%Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Lange Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.39 $38.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lorenzo Lo Malbec Agrelo 2021
red · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Renzo Masi Chianti Riserva 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Carolina Anniversary 150 Years Red Blend Chile
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +7% if it rises
Three Finger Jack Rum Barrel Red Blend Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Torres Sangre de Toro Original 2022
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Carmenere Trinidad Vineyard Maipo Valley 2021
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Albino Rocca Barbaresco Montersino 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barefoot Pinot Noir
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Bogle Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 0.0%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced5%
Castello di Gabbiano Chianti Classico 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cave and Cove Cabernet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.69 0.0%▲ 11.9%Fairly priced14%
typically +11% if it rises
Domaine Bousquet Organic Virgen Red Blend Tupungato 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Faustino Rioja Crianza 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fidelitas Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Reserve
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $24.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced7%
typically +8% if it rises
Lomond Syrah Cape Agulhas 2022
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.89 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +10% if it rises
Santa Margherita Chianti Classico Riserva
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$23.99 $25.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced5%
Virginie de Valandraud Saint Emilion 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$53.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
2,251–2,300 of 5,705← PreviousNext →