Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neleman Organic Vineyards Bobal Robusta 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raphael Sallet les Maranches Macon Uchizy 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT La Brisa Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $26.39 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cune Ribera del Duero Tinto red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Dixie and Bass Columbia Valley Red Blend 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| H3 Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 5.9% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Holiday Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kosmic Kitty Pinot Noir 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 $1,000 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Aligote Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Firefly Ridge Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Freelander Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mitravelas Red on Black Nemea 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $325 $650 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Real Crianza Rioja Alavesa 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 19 Crimes Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Coppi Siniscalco Primitivo Puglia 2018 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Creamery Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cune Crianza Rioja Alta Tinto red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Emiliana Novas Organic Carmenere Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Bourgogne Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Headed Stepchild red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +6% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Lange Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.39 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lorenzo Lo Malbec Agrelo 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Renzo Masi Chianti Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Anniversary 150 Years Red Blend Chile red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Three Finger Jack Rum Barrel Red Blend Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torres Sangre de Toro Original 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Single Block Carmenere Trinidad Vineyard Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Montersino 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bogle Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Castello di Gabbiano Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave and Cove Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.9% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine Bousquet Organic Virgen Red Blend Tupungato 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Faustino Rioja Crianza 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Reserve red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Lomond Syrah Cape Agulhas 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Santa Margherita Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Virginie de Valandraud Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,251–2,300 of 5,705← PreviousNext →