Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amisfield Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Antica Estate Townsend Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyle Nuthouse Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Tenuta Nuova Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $91.79 $153 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $90.03 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.93 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $133 $243 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $251 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 268% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.73 $179 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 $265 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 288% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 168% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 197% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 189% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $76.53 $266 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.93 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Picolomini d'Aragona Pianrosso Santa Caterina Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cielo Centanni Amarone della Valpolicella 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Clos du val Hirondelle Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2018 red · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | <1% |
| Coeur de Terre Heritage Reserve Estate Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rouge 2018 red · Provence · 750 ml | $18.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin Estournelles Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominios de Berceo Graciano Rioja 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 155% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EIEIO & Company Cuvee E Pinot Noir 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Cogno Barolo Ravera 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 115% premium | <1% |
| Emiliana Coyam Red Blend Los Robles Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Enfield Wine Co Pretty Horses California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria Le Pupille Saffredi Maremma Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 191% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $80.99 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Delle Viole 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $56.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gd Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Baudana 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,251–2,300 of 2,413← PreviousNext →