Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Demeure Pinet Jacquere Vin des Allobroges Savoie 2022 red · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Autard Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Escudo Rojo Carmenere Gran Reserva Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Decero Remolions Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frescobaldi Nipozzano Chianti Classico Riserva 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intellego Kedungu Red Blend Swartland 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark Ryan Winery Board Track Vincent Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Olema Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Owen Roe Corvidae Lenore Syrah Washington State 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torraiolo Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bodega Colome Malbec Salta Estate 2019 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantine Leuci Primile Primitivo Salento Rosso 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $8.43 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine La Bergerade Natur O Logis Sans Sulfites France Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Refosco Penducolo Rosso Colli Orientali del Friuli 2022 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sierra Salinas Mo Monastrell Alicante 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Aveta Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Two Hands Sexy Beast Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| XXL Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Anderson Valley Two Creeks Vineyards 2020 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave du Chateau de Chenas Coeur de Granit Moulin a Vent 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larroque Bordeaux Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Citra Trebbiano D'Abruzzo white · Abruzzo · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Jean Pascal et Fils Puligny Montrachet 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hitch Chardonnay Edna Valley white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Les Belles Roches Bourgogne Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +15% if it rises |
| Piccini Sasso al Poggio Rosso Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Marzano Talo Primitivo di Manduria 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Milvus Fuenconcejo Crianza Ribera del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Canoe Ridge Expedition Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Enrico Serafino Barbera d'Alba 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Epiphany GSM Thompson Vineyard Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Anges Sauvignon Blanc Loire Valley 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lulu L'Alouette Chinon Rouge 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mercer Bros Edge of Heaven Red Blend Horse Heaven Hills 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Christopher Piesporter Goldtropfchen Riesling Mosel Auslese 2022 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calera Mt Harlan Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Laribotte Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2017 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Harsanyi Hizelgo Furmint Late Harvest Tokaji 2018 dessert · 500 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacoby Graacher Domprobst Spatburgunder Mosel 2018 red · Mosel · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkastler Badstube Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Presque Isle Wine Cellars Creekside Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
2,201–2,250 of 9,968← PreviousNext →