Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odem Mountain Forest Red Blend 2023 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.49 $38.49 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Estate Chardonnay white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 60% premium | 2% |
| Exceptional Selections of California Red 4x375mL Variety Pack red · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Clifton Hill Vineyards Wahluke Slope 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Pinot Noir Heimbourg Alsace 2023 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | 60% premium | 1% |
| Meyer Grauerburgunder Loss Pfalz Trocken 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prats and Symington Post Scriptum Douro 2022 red · Douro · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Prospice Mervina Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Ama Chianti Classico Riserva Montebuoni 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Private Collection Red Durbanville 2022 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Louis Latour Pinot Noir Bourgogne red · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Hess Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Allomi Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Etude Carneros Pinot Gris 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 15 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Giannecchini Family Vineyard Old Vine Zinfandel Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Vie Rouge du Castel Judean Hills Israel Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 61% premium | 1% |
| COS Zibibbo In Pithos Terre Siciliane 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $25.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Michel Sarrazin Maranges Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $18.03 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Geyser Peak Walking Tree Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Couspaude Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rambeaux Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Granbazan Etiqueta Verde Albarino Rias Baixas 2018 white · Rias Baixas · 1500 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Martin Woods Jessie James Vineyard Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramey Woolsey Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.43 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Tourelles Vielles Vignes Carignan Bekaa Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carpineto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Korbel Brut California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 5.1% | ▲ 16.7% | 63% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bodegas Colome Autentico Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Cymbal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel California 2020 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Elephant Seven Les Collines Vineyard Syrah 2021 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Collection Claret Cabernet Sauvignon Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Iron Horse Vineyards Audrey Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Laufaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Walker Bay 2019 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amador Medrano Finca Las Aguzaderas Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Estate Chardonnay McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 65% premium | <1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.59 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caymus Suisun The Walking Fool Red Suisun Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | 65% premium | 1% |
| Limited Addition Wines Orange Crush White Blend Willamette Valley 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | 65% premium | <1% |
| Virginie de Valandraud Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.83 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 65% premium | <1% |
| St Francis Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley Reserve 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvaison Estate Pinot Noir Los Carneros 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
2,201–2,250 of 2,525← PreviousNext →