Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Plessis Glain Tristan Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mezzacorona Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 14% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Altered Dimension Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa Cote D'Argent Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Intercept Chardonnay Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Anne Amie Vineyards Two Estates Pinot Gris 2021 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $15.23 $50.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Collection Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintsbury Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyards Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boundary Breaks Dry Riesling No 239 Finger Lakes 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| Mount Fishtail Sur Lie Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nube Tempranillo Blanco Rioja 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oyster Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 14% premium | 3% |
| The Crusher Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vetriccie White Corse 2021 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Educated Guess Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruffino Lumina Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Chardonnay Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Dauny Caillottes Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beauchene Viognier Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2022 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Craggy Range Sauvignon Blanc Te Muna Road Martinborough 2023 white · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $18.83 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Fishtail Sauvignon Blanc Sur lie Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.13 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mount Fishtail Zero Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc Alcohol Removed Wine white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pio Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.43 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Balletto Vineyards Teresa's Unoaked Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Bell Wine Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Talmont Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Claude Lafond Clos Fussay Sauvignon Blanc Reuilly 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Gai'a Monograph Assyrtiko Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Garciarevalo Casamaro Verdejo Rueda 2022 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Lilly White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Kuentz Bas Alsace Blanc 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Panthera Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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