Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.73 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote D'Or Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gigondas La Cave l'Hallali Gigondas Grand Reserve 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lone Birch Syrah Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Bonacosta Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sean Minor Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Signature Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| le Fat Bastard Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Beringer Main and Vine Red Crush red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Breeze Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Carnivor Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clotilde Legrand Les Terrages Saumur Champigny 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joannet Pinot Noir Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Seven Oaks Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Noble Vines 337 Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Sogno di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $6.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tilia Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Capvespre Sunset Red Catalunya red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Carmel Winery Selected Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.74 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Carpineto Dogajolo Red Wine Toscano red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine de l'Enchantoir Le Pied a l'Etrier Saumur Puy Notre Dame 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portillo Malbec Uco Valley 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Ego Infinito Jumilla 2017 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello d'Albola Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2017 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flickerwood Wine Cellars Sweet Angel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Petite Sirah Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosmic Kitty Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angeline Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Derby Wine Estates Petite Sirah Laura's Vineyard Paso Robles 2015 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manischewitz Cream Red Concord red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
2,201–2,250 of 5,705← PreviousNext →