Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WALT Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills Santa Barbara County 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonny Doon Vin Gris Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.33 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Rose Chockablock Napa Valley 2022 rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti L'Um Umbria Rosso 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nissley Niagara White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Kinker Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Robles The Arborist Red Blend Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Antica A26 Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Deerfoot Vineyards and Winery Country Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Porvenir Laborum Single Vineyard Malbec Cafayate Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Froi Barbera d'Alba Superiore 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Maxs Cabernet Shiraz South Australia 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sierra Cantabria Crianza 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Famiglia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Latour Giraud Cuvee Charles Maxime Meursault 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Madame Noly Saint Veran 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Collection Jack's Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners The Deal Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tamarack Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taverna da Aldeia Dao Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Marsala dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Beau Vigne Romeo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BenMarco Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Garageland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Reserve de Malartic Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lone Birch Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Okfener Bockstein Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carlmagnus Fronsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $6.43 $24.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Gewurztraminer Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dusted Valley Boomtown Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| PlumpJack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stationmaster Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Aquitania Albarino Bernon Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Teofilo Reyes Ribera Del Duero Roble 2020 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Codorniu Limited Edition Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
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