Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carpineto Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Charbono Whale Rock Vineyard Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicolas Red Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $42.03 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafaurie Peyraguey Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Carmes Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $127 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% below | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rieussec Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chehalem Winery Chehalem Mountain Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Darioush Caravan Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.13 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson GS Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 121% premium | <1% |
| Department 66 D66 Grenache Maury IGP Cotes Catalans 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 84% premium | <1% |
| Dievole Chianti Classico Novecento 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | <1% |
| Dievole Chianti Classico Petrignano 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Vigna di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vielles Vignes 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Cheveau Au Buchot Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chignard Les Moriers Fleurie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Curveux Guillaume Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Les Prarons Dessus Santenay Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.13 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joannet Pinot Noir Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Pierre Marie Chermette Coeur de Vendanges Beaujolais Rouge Vignes Centenaires 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Chardonnay 2018 white · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.73 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Les Clos Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $138 $230 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Assalins Gigondas 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Cerberon Meursault Les Cras 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elephant Seven Les Collines Vineyard Syrah 2021 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Esteban Martin Grenache Syrah Blend Carinena Box 2018 red · 3000 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi CastelGiocondo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hands of Time Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Poggione Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 114 Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 115 Pinot Noir Eola Amity HIlls 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Merlot Estate Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Pinot Noir Reserve 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Maquis Lien Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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