Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin White Winery Heritage Red Blend DuBrul Vineyard Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Riesling Schoenenbourg Grand Cru 2019 white · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | ▼ 3.7% | 0.0% | 53% premium | 3% |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eck Riesling Pfalz Trocken 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 1000 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Francois et Julien Pinon Les Deronnieres Vouvray 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | 53% premium | 1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Beaujolais red · Beaujolais · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 26.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Priest Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quinta d'Aguieira Arco Tinto Bairrada 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lorenzo Lo Bendito Malbec Agrelo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $52.99 $56.99 Sale | ▲ 14.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Elvio Cogno Bordini Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $40.19 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Tre Terre Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Agiorgitiko Nemea 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ontanon Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feuerheerd's Twenty Year Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Baigorri Mendi Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Black Chicken Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Dolcetto d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argyros Atlantis White Santorini 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Fess Parker Sanford and Benedict Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Maverick Ranches Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Anthony and David Girard Les Monts Damnes Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $21.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Lucashof Pet Nat 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Via Gravonia Crianza Blanco Rioja 2016 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $49.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freeman Vineyard and Winery Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lustau San Emilio PX Jerez Xeres Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Ram's Gate Sauvignon Blanc Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.73 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Tura Mountain Vista Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Winery Stratastone Rhone Blend 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Cosme Gigondas 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $54.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Brunello di Montalcino 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | 59% premium | 1% |
| Hazelfern Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.39 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,151–2,200 of 2,525← PreviousNext →