Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Sagelands Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2023
white · Washington · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Merlot Shiraz Stellenbosch Box 2020
red · Western Cape · 3000 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tussock Jumper Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Virtue Cellars Grace Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020
white · Washington · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alyssa Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ca Furlan Cuvee Mariana Prosecco Rose Brut 2021
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hex vom Dasenstein Pinot Noir Baden 2019
red · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Massimo Rivetti Froi Barbera d'Alba Superiore 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Primaterra Prosecco Rose Extra Dry
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.23 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Red Newt Cellars Newt Riesling Finger Lakes 2020
white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml
$3.73 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rozes Porto Reserve
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Woodlands Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Margaret River Wilyabrup Valley 2017
red · 750 ml
$12.53 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Yes Way Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99▲ 6.7%▲ 14.3%Fairly priced19%
typically +5% if it rises
Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Limestone Coast 2021
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Tour de Segur Lussac Saint Emilion 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$7.73 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Bourgueil 2022
red · Loire · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
First Drop Mother's Ruin Cabernet Sauvignon McLauren Vale 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Metier Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$10.73 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Seaglass Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced1%
The Seeker Riesling Mosel
white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Villa Jolanda Mango Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Walla Walla Vintners Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Avia Pinot Grigio
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.71 $11.42 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Brancott Flight Song Sauvignon Blanc 2022
white · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Familia Zuccardi Q Chardonnay Uco Valley 2021
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Herencia Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2023
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2019
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Menage a Trois Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.49 $12.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Villa Wolf Pinot Gris Pfalz 2022
white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$10.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Enguera Green Merits Tempranillo Bobal 2023
red · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.73 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 6.7%Fairly priced1%
Castoro Cellars Estate Grown Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2023
white · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$9.73 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Liversan Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$10.73 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Girard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jaume Serra Bouquet Brut Cava
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99——Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
La Scolca Gavi 2022
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mongarda Glera Colli Trevigiani Col Fondo 2019
red · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stella Rosa Naturals Sparkling Cranberry Nonalcoholic
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99——Fairly priced6%
typically +6% if it rises
Willm Pinot Gris Alsace Reserve 2021
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced3%
Chateau Ste Michelle Dry Riesling Columbia Valley
white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Fattoria le Pupile Morrelino di Scansano 2023
red · 750 ml
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gai'a Notios Assyrtiko Peloponnese Greece White 2023
white · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$19.99 $21.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hess Select Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +7% if it rises
Ruffino Ducale Chianti Classico Riserva
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $24.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced4%
The Hare and The Tortise Pinot Noir Yarra Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bersano Mirage Gavi di Gavi 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bojador Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
2,151–2,200 of 6,416← PreviousNext →