Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Canaan White Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brooks Winery Amycas White Blend Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preserving Watersheds Sauvignon Blanc Rapel River Colchagua Valley 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cru Winery Albarino Paragon Vineyard Edna Valley 2022 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Chardonnay Tupungato Reserve 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Italian Dreamer Pinot Grigio Friuli 2021 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| White Dot Moschofilero Malagousia Peloponnese 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auntsfield Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 13% premium | 2% |
| Lemonade Stand at Main and Vine Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Line 39 Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Marof Beli Kriz Prekmurje Blanc Slovenia 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auntsfield Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | 13% premium | 2% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.13 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Sauvignon Blanc Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tiefenbrunner Pinot Grigio 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vielles Vignes 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Chardonnay California 2019 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Fishtail Sauvignon Blanc Sur Lie Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nube Tempranillo Blanco Rioja 2022 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ryan Patrick Pinot Grigio Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Crossings Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Agathe Bursin Riesling Alsace Dirstelberg 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Chardonnay Sonoma County 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Fox Run Vineyards Dry Riesling Seneca Lake 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% premium | <1% |
| Golden Chardonnay California 2020 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% premium | <1% |
| Les Legendes Bordeaux Blanc white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 7.3% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mount Fishtail Sauvignon Blanc Sur lie Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Chardonnay Uco Valley Reserva 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Laroche Les Vaudevey Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $40.79 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Johnson Estate Freelings Creek Sweet Riesling Lake Erie Reserve white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Chardonnay Columbia Gorge 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aurego Albarino Rias Baixas 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kuentz Bas Alsace Blanc 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Chardonnay Dijon Clone Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Calvet Haut Poitou Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.35 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girard Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montoya Chardonnay Monterey 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Arnoux Pere et Fils Les Confrelins Chorey Les Beaune Bourgogne Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Le Grand Chemarin Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Chardonnay Bourgogne Cote d'Or 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.23 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liquid Farm Chardonnay White Hill Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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