Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once and Future Petite Sirah Palisades Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Zephirine Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 48% premium | 1% |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Bruna Grimaldi Barolo Camilla 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Gros Nore Bandol Rouge 2019 red · Provence · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Jet Black Syrah Horse Heaven Hills 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Three Hills Cuvee Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Pierre Marie Chermette Coeur de Vendanges Beaujolais Rouge Vignes Centenaires 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mont Rubi L'Ancestral Blanc Pet Nat Penedes 2021 white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Lagoalva de Cima Gran Reserva Alfrocheiro 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineta Fontalpino Do Ut Des Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Pinot Noir Grand Reserve red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 49% premium | 2% |
| Diemersdal Pinotage Reserve Durbanville 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Domaine des Chenevieres La Baronne Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Classic Niederoesterreich 2017 sparkling · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Lazy River Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Reserve Viognier Dox Vinas Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Eric Louis Cul de Loup Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Adelsheim Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ramon Bilbao Mirto Rioja Alta 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dunham Red Blend Trutina Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Mt Beautiful North Canterbury Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Mont Redon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Ponzi Vineyards Laurelwood Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diora Estate Grown La Grande Majeste Pinot Noir San Bernabe Vineyard Monterey 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | 1% |
| Dios Baco Esnobista Moscatel Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | 1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Coste di Rose 2017 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Harvey's Bristol Cream Sherry dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.63 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 52% premium | 1% |
| Txomin Etxaniz TX Getariako Txakolina 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Lydian Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Marimar Estate Syrah Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Cape Coast 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Qupe Grenache Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Sparkling Chardonnay sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Servin Massale Selection Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Havens Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
2,101–2,150 of 2,525← PreviousNext →