Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlana Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Pratsch Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2021 red · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.55 $21.10 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vina Jaraba La Mancha Reserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ca Furlan Cuvee Beatrice Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Coopers Creek Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Dao White 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Sparkling Beverage Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Oberon Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.84 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Western Edge Pinot Noir Oregon 2014 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Riesling Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Libran L'Intimiste Rose Coteaux dAix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clay Shannon Betsy Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Bourgogne Aligote 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Piane Nebbiolo Boca 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marc Plouzeau Perle Sauvage Petillant Naturel Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Browne Family Vineyards Forest Project Paso Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fiorellino White Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Monte Antico Red Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pedroncelli Signature Selection Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Steele Cabernet Franc Lake County 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Grenache Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Couly Dutheil Le Chenin Chenin Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Le Chenin Chinon Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Rubrato Aglianico Irpinia 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Genetie Les Piliers Macon Charnay Les Macon 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Holiday Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| ICON Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Meiomi Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pratsch Rose Niederosterreich 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sagelands Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tricky Rabbit Cabernet Franc Carmenere Reserva Maule Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Zinfandel Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Violettes Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preseving Watersheds Cabernet Sauvignon Tinguiririca River Marchigue Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Estancia Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Josh Cellars Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Juve Y Camps Pinot Noir Brut Rose Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mastroberardino Fiano d'Avellino 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,101–2,150 of 6,416← PreviousNext →