Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muga Blanco Rioja 2025 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nobilo Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Federalist Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▼ 5.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tohu Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quail Oak Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +12% if it rises |
| Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · Western Cape · 3000 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chapelle Les Grand Climats Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hearst Ranch Three Sisters Cuvee White Blend Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mylonas Savatiano Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Amity Vineyards Pinot Noir White Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Pago del Vicario Blanco de Tempranillo 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Single Post Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Casato Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Pouilly Fume 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yarden Pinot Gris Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dalton Canaan White Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay North Coast Reserve white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 11% premium | <1% |
| Fitz Ritter Gewurztraminer Spatlese Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merryvale Starmont Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| K Vintners Powerline Viognier Walla Walla Valley 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lagar de Fornelos Pazo de Seoane Rias Baixas Blanco 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau et Filles Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.59 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Jacob's Creek Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 12% premium | 1% |
| Lemelson Vineyards Dry Riesling Dundee Hills 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voga Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Babylon's Peak Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Appellation White Clay White Blend Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Baluettes Les Coteaux Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabel Estate Sauvignon Blanc Wairau Marlborough Single Vineyard 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Dry Riesling Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alex Chameau Le Chene Marchand Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boundary Breaks Dry Riesling No 239 Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $225 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Tuxedos Sauvignon Blanc Central Valley 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Claude Lafond Clos Fussay Sauvignon Blanc Reuilly 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Soellner Toni Gruner Veltliner 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vavasour Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,101–2,150 of 2,882← PreviousNext →