Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DFJ Portada Lisboa Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria del Pino Rosso di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Font Mars Cabernet Sauvignon Languedoc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Les Enseigneres Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.73 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koyle Cuvee Los Lingues Carmenere Colchagua Andres 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 47% typically +3% if it rises |
| Baron Herzog Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau du Petit Thouars Les Georges Chinon Rouge 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Four Vines The Maverick Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Dark Seneca Lake red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Planeta Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Rich Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Ca Rome Barolo Cerretta 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Lalande Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Posta Tinto Red Blend Uco Valley Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomelado Natural Amber Tierra De Castilla 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ridge Vineyards Three Valley Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | ▲ 2.0% | ▲ 20.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Xumek Malbec Valle de Zonda 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| le Fat Bastard Syrah red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bianchi Organic Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Luna Beberide Mencia Bierzo 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guadianeja Paraje Alto Hungrao Tempranillo Castilla la Mancha 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Sultry Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Plenum Costa Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Beau Vigne Juliet Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erath Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Qvevri Dry Amber Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allan Scott Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonanza The Vinekeeper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Grillo Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Rassi Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.03 $29.09 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Leza Garcia Crianza Graciano Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gagliole Rubiolo Chianti Classico 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head Zinfandel Lodi Old Vine red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Hallmark Channel Jingle Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
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