Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
DFJ Portada Lisboa Reserva 2018
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fattoria del Pino Rosso di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$12.53 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Font Mars Cabernet Sauvignon Languedoc 2021
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Pascal Les Enseigneres Puligny Montrachet 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$20.73 $76.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Koyle Cuvee Los Lingues Carmenere Colchagua Andres 2020
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $6.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced47%
typically +3% if it rises
Baron Herzog Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99——Fairly priced5%
typically +11% if it rises
Chateau Coutet Barsac 2019
red · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$32.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$135 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Chateau du Petit Thouars Les Georges Chinon Rouge 2021
red · Loire · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Four Vines The Maverick Pinot Noir 2020
red · 750 ml
$10.79 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Dark Seneca Lake
red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $11.99 Sale▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%Fairly priced8%
typically +6% if it rises
Planeta Etna Rosso 2018
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barefoot Rich Red Blend
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 7.1%Fairly priced5%
Ca Rome Barolo Cerretta 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Lalande Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Posta Tinto Red Blend Uco Valley Mendoza 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pomelado Natural Amber Tierra De Castilla 2022
red · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ridge Vineyards Three Valley Red Blend Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99▲ 2.0%▲ 20.7%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend California
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced3%
Xumek Malbec Valle de Zonda 2019
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
le Fat Bastard Syrah
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced<1%
Famiglia Bianchi Organic Malbec Mendoza 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Finca Luna Beberide Mencia Bierzo 2018
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Guadianeja Paraje Alto Hungrao Tempranillo Castilla la Mancha 2023
red · 750 ml
$13.99——Fairly priced1%
Menage a Trois Sweet Collection Sultry Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.49 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Le Colonne Plenum Costa Toscana Rosso 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99▲ 1.6%▲ 5.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Beau Vigne Juliet Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$44.99 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$37.43 $125 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Cuvee Silex Vouvray Sec 2022
red · Loire · 750 ml
$13.23 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Erath Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced5%
Sunwine Rkatsiteli Qvevri Dry Amber Orange Wine 2021
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Allan Scott Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bonanza The Vinekeeper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$39.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Gnarly Head 1924 Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced<1%
Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2022
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Planeta La Segreta Grillo Sicilia 2021
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Whitehall Lane Rassi Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.03 $29.09 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bodegas Leza Garcia Crianza Graciano Rioja 2022
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gagliole Rubiolo Chianti Classico 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gnarly Head Zinfandel Lodi Old Vine
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49▲ 3.8%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced3%
Hallmark Channel Jingle Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced26%
typically +5% if it rises
2,101–2,150 of 5,705← PreviousNext →