Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$8.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2015
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Chardonnay Carneros 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GoGi Goldie Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2018
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Granbazan Etiqueta Verde Albarino Rias Baixas 2018
white · Rias Baixas · 1500 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—63% premium<1%
Groth Sauvignon Blanc 2023
white · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Herdade Sao Miguel Escolha Enologos Alentejo 2020
red · 750 ml
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—75% premium<1%
J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J Christopher Lumiere Pinot Noir Eola Amity 2014
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Follette Lorenzo Vineyard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lavinea Elton Vineyard Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2019
red · 750 ml
$12.53 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi Riserva 2016
red · 750 ml
$24.93 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paula Kornell Blanc de Noir Methode Champenoise Napa Valley 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz 2020
red · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pinhal da Torre Antagonista 2017
red · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—103% premium<1%
Pinhal da Torre Protagonista 2017
red · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Quinta d'Aguieira Arco Tinto Bairrada 2017
red · 750 ml
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Raeburn High Flier Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ram's Gate Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$12.93 $45.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Renardat Fache Cerdon Bugey Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—81% premium<1%
Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2019
red · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Savage Grace Red Willow Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022
white · Washington · 750 ml
$16.19 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% premium<1%
Savage Grace Skin Contact Gewurztraminer Columbia Gorge 2022
white · 750 ml
$10.93 $33.99 Clearance 0.0%—37% premium<1%
Stags Leap Napa Valley Viognier 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—45% below<1%
Storrs Winery Pinot Noir Santa Cruz Mountains 2019
red · 750 ml
$10.93 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2019
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tendril Cellars Childs Play Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016
red · Tuscany · 3000 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Estate 2018
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$10.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Warre's Otima 92 Colheita Tawny Porto 1992
dessert · Douro · 500 ml
$40.19 $66.99 Clearance 0.0%—101% premium<1%
Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.53 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—31% premium<1%
Wild Rose Pet Nat Riesling Kamptal 2022
rosé · 750 ml
$10.93 $33.99 Clearance 0.0%—100% premium<1%
Wine In Books Organic White Spain 2021
white · 3000 ml
$14.93 $29.89 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Amisfield Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019
red · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Argyle Nuthouse Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$29.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Argyros Atlantis White Santorini 2020
white · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—57% premium<1%
Azienda Elios Modus Bibendi Macerato Non Filtrado Terre Siciliane Bianco Biodynamic 2019
white · Sicily · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas LAN Gran Reserva Rioja 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chalone Vineyard Estate Grown Chardonnay Chalone 2022
white · Monterey · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—37% premium<1%
Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—27% below<1%
Chateau St Jean Chardonnay Carneros 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cielo Centanni Amarone della Valpolicella 2019
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% below<1%
Clos Floridene Graves Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2018
red · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—78% premium<1%
Coeur de Terre Heritage Reserve Estate Pinot Noir 2019
red · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cristom Louise Vineyard Pinot Gris Eola-Amity Hills 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cristom Louise Vineyard Viognier Eola-Amity Hills 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
2,051–2,100 of 2,215← PreviousNext →