Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine de la Croisee Magma Pouilly Fume 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Dry Mosel 2023 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Punset Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Syrah Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shooting Star Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Starmont Vineyards Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pesquie Les Terrasses Ventoux Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Libran L'Intimiste Rose Coteaux dAix en Provence 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Petite Sirah Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabali Pedregoso Sauvignon Blanc Limari Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Argillae Orvieto Superiore 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Santalba Rioja Alta White 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Lafage Novellum Chardonnay Vin de France 2020 white · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Bourgogne Aligote 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Cabernet Franc Bourgueil 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| McPrice Myers Bull by the Horns Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Cheneau Brut Rose Cava Penedes sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Peter Vella Red Blend Delicious Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta di Collalbrigo Prosecco Superiore Conegliano Valdobbiadene Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Terra Viva Sangiovese Marche 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| XXL Moscato Blueberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Zuccardi Poligonos Semillon Tupungato 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 15% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau des Moulins Medoc Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vigneau Chevreau Selection Organic Vouvray Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine de Fabregues Le Coeur Languedoc Pezenas 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nave Sur Verdejo Rueda 2021 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $6.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Grillo Sicilia 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Riesling Alsace Reserve 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Big Ang Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodega Garzon Marselan Uruguay Reserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Castenau Cuvee L Etang Picpoul de Pinet 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Rosso and Bianco Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Rapaura Springs Classic Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sean Minor Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Casas del Bosque Pinot Noir Rose Casablanca Estate 2022 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| De Perriere Brut Blanc de Blancs France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Gruet Blanc de Noirs Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Riesling McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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