Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Puyanche Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chloe Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hikari White Plum Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Zacharias Assyrtiko Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aveleda Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 4% |
| Cloudy Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Riverstone Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Mt Beautiful Sauvignon Blanc North Canterbury 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Xavier Frissant Touraine Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quail Oak Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +12% if it rises |
| Calera Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Grey Stack Chardonnay Four Brothers Vineyard Bennet Valley Sonoma County 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Lara Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mouton Cadet x Nathan Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Soaked Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Autumn Frost Peach Chardonnay Wine Spritzer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2022 white · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Riesling Wineck Schlossberg Alsace Grand Cru 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.19 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Zolo Unoaked Chardonnay Mendoza white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alta Vista Estate Torrontes 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planeta Etna Bianco 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tilia Torrontes Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.13 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | <1% |
| Cade Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Markham Vineyards Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $24.99 Clearance | ▼ 7.4% | ▲ 31.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc California 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turning Leaf Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 10% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Semi Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ruhlmann Plaisir Fruite Pinot Blanc Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2020 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Muga Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rickshaw Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sun Soaked Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bodega Garzon Sauvignon Blanc Uruguay Reserva 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.93 $40.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacquin's Creme de Menthe White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Maui Blanc Pineapple Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DFJ Portada White Lisboa Reserva 2021 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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