Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Les Tetes Les Parcelles Tete Nat Orange Vin de France Sparkling 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cellars Unio Tendral Seleccion Red Priorat 2018 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Le Grand Chemarin Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 2% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | 1% |
| Pra Morandina Valpolicella Ripasso Superiore 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pulenta Estate Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Succession Wines Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley Estate 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ca di Pesa Chianti Classico Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Domaines Des Quatre Vents Fleurie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Mionetto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| L'Ecole No 41 Apogee Pepper Bridge Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Rocca delle Macie Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.0% | 42% premium | 2% |
| J Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Succession Wines Sauvignon Blanc Ancient Lakes Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Weis Gruner Veltliner Finger Lakes 2025 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| Beringer Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Kloster Eberbach Crescentia Steinberger Riesling Rheingau Kabinett 2019 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyros Atlantis Red Santorini 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Jean Ernest Descombes Morgon Cote du Puy 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time and Direction Wines Binary Syrah Walla Walla 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Claude Riffault Mosaique Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.43 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Party Pouch Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Six Eighty Cellars Riesling Estate Reserve Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delille Cellars D2 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gavalas Vinsanto Santorini 2013 red · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Postmark Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Meiomi Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mark Ryan Winery Dissident Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emilio Lustau East India Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | 14% typically +7% if it rises |
| Valo Intemporal Red Blend Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quest Red Blend Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rabble Tempranillo Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.03 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willems Willems Riesling Kabinett Altenberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GoGi Erinn Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Tour Carnet Haut Medoc Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chignard Les Moriers Fleurie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 44% premium | 3% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Pinot Noir Carneros red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.43 $41.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 54.1% | 44% premium | 1% |
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