Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavit Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Dark Horse Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Six Hats South Africa Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corte Giacobbe Soave 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $62.39 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hanna Sauvignon Blanc Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Hectic Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Stoneburn Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.56 $13.13 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Koyle Costa Cuarzo Sauvignon Blanc Paredones 2022 white · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Meyer Fonne Riesling Reserve Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Ema Select Terroir Sauvignon Blanc Maipo Valley Reserva 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Starborough Starlite Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 13.3% | — | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Wimmer Gruner Veltliner 2023 white · 1000 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $61.79 $103 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Go Vinho Verde 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $7.43 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Routestock Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grgich Hills Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Mom Juice Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2024 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Thread Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignoble Dauny Caillottes Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Cana Albarino 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Unshackled Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | ▼ 12.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yealands Lighter Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pewsey Vale Dry Riesling Eden Valley Estate 2021 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sean Minor Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignerons de Bel Air Chardonnay Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boutinot La Fleur Solitaire Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Chardonnay Pays d'Oc 2022 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Family Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moco da Ponte Vinho Verde Minho white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Thread Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaia Cellars Moschofilero Mantinia White 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ameztoi Getariaka Txakolina Blanco 2024 white · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Albarino Uruguay Reserva 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Three Sisters White Cuvee White Wine Blend Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mar de Vinas Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Renne Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rapaura Springs Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Qba Riesling Mosel Dry 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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