Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Domaine Drouhin Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gai'a Monograph Moschofilero Peloponnese 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Signed by Charles Woodson
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.89 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +4% if it rises
Kotrotsos Ophelia Agiorgitiko Greece Red 2022
red · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
La Scolca Gavi di Gavi 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Smith Madrone Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Terra Viva Sangiovese Marche
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$55.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Borsao Cabriola Campo de Borja 2017
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Casas Del Bosque Cabernet Sauvignon Valle de Rapel Reserva 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Chehalem Winery Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Romuald Petit Chiroubles Beaujolais 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 114 Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Les Griffons de Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$21.93 $70.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Signae Montefalco Rosso 2022
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Terredora di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2020
red · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Amboscato Sweet Red Italy
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.33 $9.39 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bruna Grimaldi Scassa Barbera d'Alba 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$3.73 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Charles and Charles Double Trouble Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barbera d'Alba 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Regaleali Perricone Sicilia 2021
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Pelaquie Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Escudo Rojo Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99——Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Vina Tarapaca Carmenere Maipo Grand Reserva 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$13.43 $17.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek Valley 2023
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Malbec
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $10.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced4%
Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita Langhe 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jasper James Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$15.99——Fairly priced2%
Lornano Chianti Classico
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.53 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Resonance Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$18.93 $66.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Terre del Barolo Arnaldo Rivera Barolo Monvigliero 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Three Thieves Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.29 0.0%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced9%
typically +12% if it rises
Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2018
red · Alsace · 750 ml
$8.23 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Airfield Estates Bombshell Red Blend 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodega Benegas Estate Malbec Mendoza 2022
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodega Garzon Cabernet Franc Uruguay Reserva 2019
red · 750 ml
$11.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Coutet Barsac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$9.83 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau du Bousquet Cotes de Bourg 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sutter Home Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.13 $8.49 Clearance 0.0%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced1%
Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chloe Pinot Noir Monterey County
red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99▼ 3.6% 0.0%Fairly priced3%
Howell Mountain Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Tascante Ghiaia Nera Etna Rosso 2018
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Biokult Naken Burgenland 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.03 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Michel Gerin Le Seigneur Cote Rotie 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$56.03 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
2,001–2,050 of 5,705← PreviousNext →