Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Drouhin Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Moschofilero Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Signed by Charles Woodson red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kotrotsos Ophelia Agiorgitiko Greece Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Scolca Gavi di Gavi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Smith Madrone Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Viva Sangiovese Marche red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $55.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Borsao Cabriola Campo de Borja 2017 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casas Del Bosque Cabernet Sauvignon Valle de Rapel Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chehalem Winery Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Romuald Petit Chiroubles Beaujolais 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 114 Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Griffons de Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Signae Montefalco Rosso 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terredora di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amboscato Sweet Red Italy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.33 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bruna Grimaldi Scassa Barbera d'Alba 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles and Charles Double Trouble Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barbera d'Alba 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Regaleali Perricone Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Pelaquie Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Vina Tarapaca Carmenere Maipo Grand Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek Valley 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita Langhe 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasper James Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lornano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Resonance Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.93 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terre del Barolo Arnaldo Rivera Barolo Monvigliero 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Thieves Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2018 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Bombshell Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Benegas Estate Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Cabernet Franc Uruguay Reserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Bousquet Cotes de Bourg 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.13 $8.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chloe Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Tascante Ghiaia Nera Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biokult Naken Burgenland 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin Le Seigneur Cote Rotie 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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