Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maison Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.93 $117 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Montes Alpha M Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
| Montes Folly Syrah Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 505% premium | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello Di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $50.99 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prospice Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel California 2020 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Seiler Estate Single Vineyard Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Glass Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 307% premium | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards GEO Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Staglin Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $195 $325 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Silvio Nardi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $50.99 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trinite Estate Acaibo Red Wine Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Casa Real Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Reserva Especial 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 546% premium | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Zuccardi Finca Piedra Infinita Malbec Paraje Altamira 2017 red · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ashbourne Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlas Peak Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Atlas Peak Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 1500 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bernardus Marinus Red Carmel Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bien Nacido Estate The XO Reserve Syrah Santa Maria Valley SBC 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cayuse Vineyards Syrah Cailloux Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.43 $124 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $65.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $432 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Chateau L'Eglise Clinet Pomerol 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 648% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 505% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.43 $122 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,050 $1,400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.93 $121 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Mission Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 583% premium | <1% |
| Chehalem Winery Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,001–2,050 of 2,413← PreviousNext →