Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Post and Beam Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Clos des Folatieres 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Salvaterra Valpolicella Classico Superiore Ripasso 2023 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $19.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Shiraz South Australia 2022 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Brioso Red Blend Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | 99% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2023 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quattro Theory Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quattro Theory Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Kith and Kin Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rene Bouvier Crais de Chene Fixin 2022 red · 750 ml | $69.99 $76.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 278% premium | 1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | 192% premium | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $50.99 $54.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Musar Gaston Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2018 red · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 190% premium | 1% |
| Price Family Estates Three Sticks Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolias Morgon Cote du Py 2024 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| COS Zibibbo In Pithos Terre Siciliane 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Couhins Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | ▲ 16.7% | — | 217% premium | 1% |
| Educated Guess Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Le Grand Chemarin Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Cote d'Or Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pombal do Vesuvio Douro 2022 red · Douro · 750 ml | $30.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 1000 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023 white · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Petit Chablis 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matthews Cuvee Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Roda Rioja Sela 2023 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Pargues Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Laporte Le Rochoy Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Henriot Champagne Millesime 2012 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Eden Valley 2024 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | 74% premium | 1% |
| Dancing Crow Old Stake Field Blend Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chanson Beaune 1er Cru Clos des Marconnets 2021 red · 750 ml | $58.99 $64.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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