Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Beauchene Vignobles Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brezon et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gia Coppola Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | 1% |
| Meadowcroft Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker Blue Eyed Boy Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pine Ridge Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Virtue Cellars Loyalty Syrah Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castelfeder Burgum Novum Pinot Nero Alto Adige 2018 red · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Saint Damien Selection Vacqueyras 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Panisse Le Mas Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $49.99 $56.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $55.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francis Coppola Director?s Cut Red Blend Cinema Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | 1% |
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francois et Julien Pinon Les Deronnieres Vouvray 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | 53% premium | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The McNab by Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon McNab Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2021 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| COS Frappatto Terre Siciliane 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2023 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $50.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Saint Cosme Gigondas 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $54.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 1% |
| DAOU Seventeen Forty Red Blend Reserve Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 205% premium | 1% |
| Loveblock Tee Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | 1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Walker Bay 2022 red · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Truchard Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Crossbarn Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Pinot Noir Heimbourg Alsace 2023 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | 60% premium | 1% |
| Epiphany GSM Thompson Vineyard Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ita Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2022 red · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Turley Zinfandel Fredericks Vineyard Sonoma Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Pinot Noir 2024 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Di Giovanna V21 Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2023 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $31.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Christophe Mittnacht Organic Terres d'etoiles Cuvee Extra Brut Cremant d'Alsace 2022 sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cyrus 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $64.99 | — | — | 215% premium | 1% |
| Buehler Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Chateau de la Mulonniere Savennieres 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Contratto Millesimato Pas Dose Metodo Classico 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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