Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Masson Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 43% below | 2% |
| Sycamore Lane Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.93 $6.54 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 43% below | 13% typically +12% if it rises |
| Chateau Fontaine de Genin Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Ho Ho Ho Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | 42% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Zuazo Gaston Rioja Crianza 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Bodega Cuatro Rayas Verdejo Rueda 2019 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42% below | <1% |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 14% typically +14% if it rises |
| Be Human Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 4% |
| Jean Marie Berthier Sauvignon Blanc Val de Loire 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| CVNE Bela Ribera del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Bunkhouse Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| La Purisima Monastrell Yecla 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Saverio Faro Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2019 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Chalk Hill Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% below | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Pinot Noir Val de Loire 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $8.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
| Villa Antinori Toscana Bianco white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42% below | 1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Daou Rose Paso Robles 2023 rosé · Paso Robles · 375 ml | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Kunde Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 41% below | <1% |
| Carracuesta Rioja Alavesa 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Lost and Found Syrah The Nines Vineyard Sonoma Mountain 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Port First Estate dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Brun Despagne Querre Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Dry Gewurztraminer Estate Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Il Molino di Grace il Volano Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Il Poggio Aglianico Sannio 2017 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 41% below | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Dry Gewerztraminer Estate Vineyard Sonoma Valley Sonoma County 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Havens Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $1.73 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Canyon Oaks Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 2% |
| Jaqk Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2022 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2019 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Conde Valdemar Tempranillo Rioja Crianza 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $6.59 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Il Poggio Aglianico Sannio 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 30 Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40% below | 13% typically +22% if it rises |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Casa Primicia Rioja Crianza 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Jean Francois Roy Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Craftsman's Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.45 $10.91 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| A by Acacia Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2019 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| City Limits Detour Red Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Randolph Red Wine Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan Crianza Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
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