Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 is Enough Orange Bianco Puglia white · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hikari White Plum Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Josh Cellar Reserve Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wente Vineyards Morning Fog Chardonnay Livermore Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ohla White Catalunya Alcohol Removed white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bistro Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Les Infusions de Villa Noria Organic Blanc de Noirs Pet Nat white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Lohr Flume Crossing Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fetzer Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | 23% below | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Liquid Light Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Gabriela Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bar Dog Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2 x 750mL Bottles white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moillard Grivot Petit Chablis white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ramon Bilbao Early Harvest Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Meiomi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Bianco Emilia Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sao Goncalo Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Stony Run Winery Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Chardonnay Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Tropical Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Torresella Pinot Grigio Venezia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Freixenet Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Aveta Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fre Pinot Grigio Alcohol Removed Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Bianco Italia Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Giesen Vineyard Selection Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Custard Chardonnay Sonoma Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Loosen Bros Dr Lo Alcohol Removed Riesling Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Pinot Grigio Rubicone white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Trebbiano Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $7.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Pure Bright Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Pure Bright Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | — | 3% below | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 12% below | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
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