Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkastler Badstube Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mercouri Estate Kallisto Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Napa 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Henri Bourgeois La Porte du Caillou Sancerre Rouge 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley Reserve 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe Magnum 2018 white · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,440 $1,920 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 158% premium | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Bourgogne 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thomas Tradition Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Pinot Noir Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $46.79 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Saint Romain Villages Blanc 2019 white · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $375 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vieille Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Cote d'Or Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kith and Kin Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Markou Phenomena Savatiano Athens Vareli Greece White 2023 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Trione River Road Ranch Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Vignoble Dauny Clos du Roy Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $87.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Granbazan Etiqueta Ambar Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $132 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eck Riesling Pfalz Trocken 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 1000 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Chardonnay Truchard Vineyard Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto White Alentejo 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reinhold Haart Riesling Piesporter Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Arnoux Pere et Fils Les Confrelins Chorey Les Beaune Bourgogne Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric Montchovet Hautes Cotes de Beaune Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manderschied Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2020 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $16.53 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
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