Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varichon et Clerc Privilege Blanc de Blancs Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +3% if it rises |
| Philippe Glavier La Grace d'Alphael Extra Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $61.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.19 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 58.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Brilla Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Los Monteros Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Benoit Gautier Vouvray Brut Antique sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Sonoma Brut Reserve sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Maia Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Parini Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moletto Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine des Aubuisieres Brut Vouvray sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Andre California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +11% if it rises |
| Champagne Charles Mignon Premium Reserve Brut NV sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Collection Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Vietti Cascinetta Vietti Moscato d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gustave Lorentz Cremant d'Alsace sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Victoire Lafayette Brut Blanc de Blancs Vin de France Non Vintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gran Campo Viejo Cava Brut Reserva sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Eyrie Vineyards Spark Sparkling Rose Dundee Hills Willamette Valley sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cook's California Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine des Trottieres La Pierre Couverte Brut Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau de Bligny Blanc de Blancs Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lightpost Winery Jules De Brut Blanc De Blanc San Luis Obispo County 2018 sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opera Prima Sparkling Bellini Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Lambrusco Rosso Emilia Romagna sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mumm Napa Brut Rose sparkling · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Codorniu Limited Edition Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Decoy Brut Cuvee sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Yes Way Rose Bubbles Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cavicchioli 1928 Prosecco Holiday Edition sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cosmopolitan Diva Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +22% if it rises |
| Emendis Nu Allonge Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau des Cosse Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Gouguenheim Sparkling Mendoza Extra Brut Rose sparkling · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles Mignon Cuvee Comte de Marme Grand Cru Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cricket Farms Brut Rose Sparkling Wine Lake County sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| De Chanceny Rose Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Korbel Extra Dry California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moutard Pere et Fils Rose de Cuvaison Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $118 | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Rose Sparkling Wine Semi Sweet sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +3% if it rises |
| Korbel Brut Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Freixenet Cordon Negro Cava Extra Dry sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
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