Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Rose Rioja 2025 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Breeze Dry Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clair Diamant Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Freres Bastards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Santa Julia Organic Malbec Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Contempo Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.11 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cote Mas Rose Aurore Pays d Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Culitos Moscato Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quadrum Rose Spain rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.83 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clair Diamant Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Rose Colchagua Estate 2023 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleu Rose IGP Mediterranee 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Sonoma Rose rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| All Time Low Summer Daze Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Sauvignon Rose Cape Town 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cote Basque Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Confidencial Rose Lisboa Reserva rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Menage a Trois Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clair Diamant Rose Cotes de Provence 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sieur d Eguilles Coteaux d Aix en Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castillo De Eneriz Garnacha Navarra Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Faustino Art Collection Rose Rioja 2021 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa La Vie En Rose Negrette South West France Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Fleur de Roy Pinot Noir Rose Columbia Gorge 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Confetti Sweet Pink Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine Lafage Miraflors Rose Cotes Catalanes 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rose 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose Gift Set rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.24 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Montes Cherub Rose Colchagua Valley 2022 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Nittany Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Jam Jar Sweet Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Byron and Harold Rose and Thorns Shiraz Western Australia 2022 rosé · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Angeline Rose of Pinot Noir rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Portillo Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.54 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| 2 Canos Cheerful Frizzante Rose Strawberry and Coconut La Mache rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles and Charles Rose Columbia Valley rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yalumba The Y Series Sangiovese Rose South Australia 2021 rosé · South Australia · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| California Roots Rose rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Rose 2024 rosé · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Saleya Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Promesa Tempranillo Rosado Castilla 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Ruby Rose Grapefruit rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Famille Dubard Le Rose Coeur du Mont Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2024 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $28.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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