Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $21.99 Sale | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | 13% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Black Box Brilliant Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 6% premium | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Vibrant and Velvety Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes The Warden Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.69 $18.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 47% premium | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Little Sheep of France Pinot Noir Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lamole di Lamole Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Umberto Cesari MOMA Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| St Huberts Cabernet Sauvignon The Stag Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.79 $20.79 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Game Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Game Box Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Castello Banfi Brunello di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $78.49 | ▲ 0.6% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Redwood Highway Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine Rimbert Vin Orange Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Sir Walter's Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ramon Bilbao Limited Edition Garnacha red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Volver Single Vineyard Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Block Nine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| 9 is Enough Rosso Puglia red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa des Causses Malbec Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Juggernaut Hillside Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gemma di Luna Red Gem red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Red Blend Delicious Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot On Tap Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Flickerwood Wine Cellars Sweet Angel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Villages red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Mark West Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Black Box Merlot red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Black Box Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Memo Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pierrick Harang Le Petit Balthazar Vin Rouge Languedoc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Whiskey Barrel Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $19.49 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | — | 39% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| San Felo Maremma Sangiovese red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Wing Blackberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 55% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau La Grange Clinet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hand on Heart Alcohol Removed Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ilauri Salto Sangiovese Terre di Chieti red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Z Alexander Brown Ole Smokey Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 $22.49 Sale | ▲ 2.3% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
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