Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Metz Road Pinot Noir Riverview Vineyard Monterey 2019
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$9.13 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bagueri Sparkling Brut Slovenia
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.53 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—38% premium1%
Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$59.99——Fairly priced1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Bodyguard Paso Robles 2020
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Potensac Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$39.99 $42.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Blanc 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—38% premium<1%
Eshcol Ranch Red Blend Trefethen Vineyards
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2017
red · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Punset Barbaresco Campo Quadro 2015
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dominio Los Pinos La Sort 2020
red · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—39% premium<1%
Francis Coppola Director?s Cut Red Blend Cinema Sonoma County 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—39% premium1%
Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +5% if it rises
Bolla Amarone Della Valpolicella Classico
red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$49.99▲ 0.2%▲ 8.7%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023
white · 750 ml
$43.19 $71.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Grgich Hills Chardonnay Napa Valley
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$49.99 0.0%▲ 25.0%Fairly priced5%
Chateau Rieussec Sauternes 2017
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lail Vineyards Blueprint Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$36.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024
rosé · Provence · 1500 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—39% premium<1%
Raeburn High Flier Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District 2017
red · 750 ml
$12.73 $42.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2019
white · 750 ml
$17.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lajver Incognito Kekfrankos Hungary 2022
red · 750 ml
$7.73 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023
rosé · Provence · 1500 ml
$15.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% premium<1%
Dragonette Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2020
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$27.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose
sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$31.99 0.0%▲ 6.7%Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gundlach Bundschu Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2023
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% premium<1%
Raptor Ridge Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Riley's Rows Pinot Noir North Coast 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Weingut Lucashof Petillant Naturel Pfalz 2021
sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$11.33 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Open Claim Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$20.93 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Machete Red Blend California 2022
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$38.99 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% premium<1%
Chateau Fourcas Hosten Listrac Medoc Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$38.99 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$16.93 $55.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau St Jean Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$23.73 $38.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% premium<1%
Pierre Marie Chermette Collonges Chardonnay Beaujolais Blanc 2024
white · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$25.99 0.0%—40% premium<1%
Trione River Road Ranch Sauvignon Blanc 2023
white · 750 ml
$29.99——40% premium<1%
Yarden Petit Verdot Golan Heights 2017
red · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Bryn Mawr Vineyards Brut Rose Willamette Valley
sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% premium1%
Haart Riesling Estate 2022
white · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021
white · 750 ml
$61.99 $63.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Kristof Estate Grown Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2020
red · Central Coast · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$61.99——41% premium3%
Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2023
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$50.99——Fairly priced1%
1,951–2,000 of 2,525← PreviousNext →