Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz Road Pinot Noir Riverview Vineyard Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bagueri Sparkling Brut Slovenia sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 1% |
| Catena Alta Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Bodyguard Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Potensac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 $42.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Eshcol Ranch Red Blend Trefethen Vineyards red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2017 red · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Punset Barbaresco Campo Quadro 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominio Los Pinos La Sort 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Director?s Cut Red Blend Cinema Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | 1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bolla Amarone Della Valpolicella Classico red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | ▲ 0.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grgich Hills Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Rieussec Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Raeburn High Flier Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2019 white · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lajver Incognito Kekfrankos Hungary 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Dragonette Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riley's Rows Pinot Noir North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Lucashof Petillant Naturel Pfalz 2021 sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Open Claim Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete Red Blend California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Hosten Listrac Medoc Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.93 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Collonges Chardonnay Beaujolais Blanc 2024 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Trione River Road Ranch Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Yarden Petit Verdot Golan Heights 2017 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bryn Mawr Vineyards Brut Rose Willamette Valley sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Haart Riesling Estate 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $61.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kristof Estate Grown Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2020 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | 41% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2023 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $50.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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