Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanati Yasmin White Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Black Cottage Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Notios White Blend Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Bastide Saint Dominique Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $39.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Exotic White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ponzi Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra d'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blalock and Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boundary Breaks 239 Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Centerstone Unoaked Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firesteed Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Bianco Italia Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Apothic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Knotty Vines Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Petite Frog Cotes de Thau Languedoc Blanc Box 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frey Biodynamic Chardonnay Mendocino 2023 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Middle Sister Drama Queen Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Painted Wolf The Den Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Etna Bianco 2018 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zilzie Chardonnay Victoria 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargetto Chardonnay Regan Estate Vineyards Reserve Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Maurice Schoeh Cotes d'Ammerschwihr Alsace Blanc 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Gewurztraminer Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 13 Celsius Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cavit Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Recanati Chardonnay Upper Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Babich Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough Estate 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | 4% |
| Charles Smith Bubbled Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapis Luna Chardonnay 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pratsch Gruner Veltliner Weinviertel DAC 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bella Sera Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkasteler Lay Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $31.53 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pfeffingen Dry Riesling Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butternut Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 5.6% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fogscape Vineyards Chardonnay Arroyo Seco Monterey 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laroque Chardonnay Cite de Carcassonne 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pacific Rim Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Prophecy Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Toasted Head Chardonnay Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 8% premium | 1% |
1,951–2,000 of 2,882← PreviousNext →