Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cusumano Benuara Rosso Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Casato Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Illuminati Ilico Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Perusini Merlot Colli Orientali del Friuli 2021 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tribute Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Cerrada Rioja Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cataclysm Wine Co Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Demarie Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Lafage Bastide Miraflors Cotes du Roussillon Rouge 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Loubejac Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Falesco Vitiano Rosso Umbria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +13% if it rises |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| K Vintners Rockgarden Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nozzole Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Toad Hollow Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Umberto Cesari MOMA Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Decero Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Lantignie 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paquet Montagnac Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sintonia Sangria Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 99 West Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.43 $124 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gai'a Notios Red Blend Peloponnese 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de la Emperatriz Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Rkatsiteli Kakheti 2020 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2024 red · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Clare Valley 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Gabbiano Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon La Justice Gevrey Chambertin 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi di Gavi 2025 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Block Nine Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Revelry Vintners The Limited Edition Reveler Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 2.8% | ▼ 2.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Carmenet Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Marques de Riscal Rioja Reserva red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
1,951–2,000 of 5,705← PreviousNext →