Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$35.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cusumano Benuara Rosso Terre Siciliane 2020
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Il Casato Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.39 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +9% if it rises
Illuminati Ilico Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$12.99——Fairly priced1%
Perusini Merlot Colli Orientali del Friuli 2021
red · Friuli · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2023
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml
$14.73 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$24.99——Fairly priced<1%
Tribute Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Vina Cerrada Rioja Reserva 2018
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cataclysm Wine Co Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Demarie Barolo 2019
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Lafage Bastide Miraflors Cotes du Roussillon Rouge 2018
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Loubejac Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$46.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Falesco Vitiano Rosso Umbria
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $10.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced12%
typically +13% if it rises
Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.33 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
K Vintners Rockgarden Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nozzole Chianti Classico Riserva 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$7.43 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Toad Hollow Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Umberto Cesari MOMA Rosso
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$71.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Finca Decero Malbec Mendoza 2022
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$13.99 $15.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Lantignie 2021
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$10.03 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paquet Montagnac Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Sintonia Sangria Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
99 West Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$19.99——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$36.43 $124 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$54.99——Fairly priced2%
Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▼ 6.3% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +4% if it rises
Gai'a Notios Red Blend Peloponnese 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de la Emperatriz Rioja 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$5.63 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sunwine Rkatsiteli Kakheti 2020
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2024
red · 750 ml
$15.99 $16.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Clare Valley 2021
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$7.23 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Gabbiano Chianti Classico Riserva 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$15.99——Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Antonin Guyon La Justice Gevrey Chambertin 2018
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Villa Sparina Gavi di Gavi 2025
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$16.99——Fairly priced1%
Block Nine Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $14.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +7% if it rises
Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2023
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$47.99 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2023
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$25.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Revelry Vintners The Limited Edition Reveler Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$13.13 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 2.8%▼ 2.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Carmenet Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.99 $13.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced2%
Marques de Riscal Rioja Reserva
red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%▲ 5.3%Fairly priced5%
Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$65.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
1,951–2,000 of 5,705← PreviousNext →