Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herdade dos Grous Reserva Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Hermanos Hernaiz Finca la Emperatriz Gran Vino Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Estate Chardonnay McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Carr Revelist Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Cymbal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Aligote Bouzeron 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Beaumonts Chorey Les Beaune Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013 white · 375 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prospice Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel California 2020 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Salvestrin Sauvignon Blanc St Helena Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Ashbourne Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bernardus Marinus Red Carmel Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2018 white · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gazin Rocquencourt Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.53 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chehalem Winery Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Hommage Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Descendients de Jose Palacios Petalos Del Bierzo Mencia Bierzo 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique and Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Cote d'Or Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Gros Nore Bandol Rouge 2019 red · Provence · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 113% premium | <1% |
| Dominio Los Pinos La Sort 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Dumol Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Cogno Bordini Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $40.19 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| FEL Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Florio Marsala Superiore Riserva Semisecco 2015 dessert · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Flowers Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Meyer Black Pin Pinot Noir Pfalz Germany 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,901–1,950 of 2,215← PreviousNext →