Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Herdade dos Grous Reserva Red 2021
red · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—69% premium<1%
Hermanos Hernaiz Finca la Emperatriz Gran Vino Rioja 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—161% premium<1%
Hyland Estates Estate Chardonnay McMinnville 2022
white · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—64% premium<1%
J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains Willamette Valley 2016
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Carr Revelist Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lingua Franca Avni Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Long Shadows Cymbal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022
white · Washington · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—63% premium<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Aligote Bouzeron 2020
red · 750 ml
$17.53 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Beaumonts Chorey Les Beaune Rouge 2020
red · 750 ml
$14.33 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Machete 2020
red · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013
white · 375 ml
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Prospice Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—23% below<1%
Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel California 2020
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—63% premium<1%
Salvestrin Sauvignon Blanc St Helena Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—54% below<1%
Sojourn Cellars Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2017
white · Monterey · 750 ml
$17.03 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Ashbourne Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020
red · 750 ml
$27.53 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bernardus Marinus Red Carmel Valley 2017
red · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Black Stallion Estate Winery Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2018
white · 750 ml
$27.53 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Gazin Rocquencourt Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—57% below<1%
Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$13.53 $46.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$27.53 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.33 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chehalem Winery Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chimney Rock Elevage Blanc Napa Valley 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos Pegase Hommage Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$24.03 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 1500 ml
$32.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Descendients de Jose Palacios Petalos Del Bierzo Mencia Bierzo 2020
red · 750 ml
$8.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—69% premium<1%
Domaine Dominique and Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2022
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$20.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$8.33 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Cote d'Or Rouge 2019
red · 750 ml
$17.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Gros Nore Bandol Rouge 2019
red · Provence · 750 ml
$27.53 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—113% premium<1%
Dominio Los Pinos La Sort 2020
red · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—39% premium<1%
Dumol Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$42.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elvio Cogno Bordini Barbaresco 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$40.19 $66.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
FEL Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020
red · 750 ml
$11.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Florio Marsala Superiore Riserva Semisecco 2015
dessert · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—87% premium<1%
Flowers Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frank Meyer Black Pin Pinot Noir Pfalz Germany 2020
red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,901–1,950 of 2,215← PreviousNext →