Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bernard Magrez Bleu de Mer Rose Pays d'Oc 2020 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cru Winery Unoaked Chardonnay Arroyo Seco Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emilio Lustau Fino Jarana Solera Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| La Retro Les Annees Folles Vin de France Rouge 2020 red · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Pinotage Stellenbosch 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| O Organics Organic Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Recanati Cabernet Sauvignon Upper Galilee 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Rose Blauen Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Angels Petite Sirah Red Hills Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Jolanda Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Isabella Sweet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Tintero Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Zinfandel Red Label red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LaLuca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Malvira Roero Arneis 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Huberts Chardonnay The Stag white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tavernello Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Warre's Kings Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bantu Cannonau di Sardegna 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casal do Ramilo Jackpot Lisbon 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Estoublon Roseblood Rose Coteaux Varois en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pull Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Two Vintners Make Haste Cinsault Yakima Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Winzer Krems Classic Gruner Veltliner Trocken Niederosterreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franciscan Estate California Pinot Noir 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Cana Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Newt Cellars Blue Newt White Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Nativae di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Head High Chardonnay Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison De Madeleine Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mulderbosch Faithful Hound Stellenbosch 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Weinrieder Ried Schneiderberg Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave de Ribeauville Muscat Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Terlato and Chapoutier L Block Shiraz Pyrenees 2018 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de L'Olivette Mare Nostrum IGP Mediterranee Rose 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Gewurztraminer Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Emendis Robert de Nola Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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