Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Vintners The Deal Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Ferguson Estate Ferguson Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Colombina Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Las Sabias Tempranillo Toro 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 98% premium | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Robin Vaucoupin Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lula Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Gewurztraminer Reserve Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll Vaca Vista Vineyard 2019 red · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta do Vallado Douro Red Reserva 2018 red · Douro · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 175% premium | <1% |
| Seven Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smith Madrone Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Snowden Vineyards Merlot Lost Vineyard Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Somos Cabernet Franc McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Villa Donoratico Bolgheri Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Vice Howell Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Adelsheim Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Antica A26 Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arthur Barolet Chardonnay Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Cabernet Sauvignon Maestro Collection Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Reserve Knights Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Edicion Limitada Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 129% premium | <1% |
| Casa Santos Lima Red Blend Lisboa Box 2019 red · 3000 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $225 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.73 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $186 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cielo Centenero Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2019 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Derby Wine Estates Petite Sirah Laura's Vineyard Paso Robles 2015 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dog Point Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote D'Or Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,851–1,900 of 3,189← PreviousNext →