Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
K Vintners The Deal Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$19.03 $38.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
L'Ecole No 41 Ferguson Estate Ferguson Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
LEcole No 41 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$14.33 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Colombina Brunello di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.19 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Las Sabias Tempranillo Toro 2020
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—98% premium<1%
Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Robin Vaucoupin Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$26.73 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lula Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Meyer Fonne Gewurztraminer Reserve Alsace 2022
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—6% premium<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll Vaca Vista Vineyard 2019
red · 750 ml
$89.93 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$20.73 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Quinta do Vallado Douro Red Reserva 2018
red · Douro · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—175% premium<1%
Seven Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Smith Madrone Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Snowden Vineyards Merlot Lost Vineyard Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Somos Cabernet Franc McLaren Vale 2019
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$7.73 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Argentiera Villa Donoratico Bolgheri Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Vice Howell Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Dragon's Tooth 2021
red · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Merlot 2021
red · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—89% premium<1%
Adelsheim Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Antinori Antica A26 Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Arthur Barolet Chardonnay Bourgogne Blanc 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$33.53 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard BV Cabernet Sauvignon Maestro Collection Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Reserve Knights Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$15.83 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—102% premium<1%
Bodegas LAN Edicion Limitada Rioja 2020
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—129% premium<1%
Casa Santos Lima Red Blend Lisboa Box 2019
red · 3000 ml
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2021
white · Mendoza · 750 ml
$21.93 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$225 $750 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Giscours Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$44.73 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.93 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2020
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2014
dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml
$186 $300 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$21.93 $77.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cielo Centenero Amarone della Valpolicella 2018
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Crossbarn Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dalton Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2019
red · 750 ml
$26.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Derby Wine Estates Petite Sirah Laura's Vineyard Paso Robles 2015
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dog Point Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$13.93 $43.99 Clearance 0.0%—77% premium<1%
Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote D'Or Bourgogne 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$9.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Drouhin Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$9.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2021
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$10.93 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,851–1,900 of 3,189← PreviousNext →