Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lake Sonoma Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$22.19 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Rioja Alta Tempranillo Vina Aran Rioja Gran Reserva 2014
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$53.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Ondalan 100 Abades Graciano Rioja 2020
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$19.79 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Margherita Prosecco Superiore
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.0%32% premium1%
Lothian of Elgin Chardonnay 2021
white · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Luca Old Vine Malbec Mendoza 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rutherford Hill AJT Sauvignon Blanc 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Andersen Vally 2022
red · 750 ml
$33.03 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% premium<1%
Crossbarn Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Charvin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—32% premium<1%
Jaffurs Wine Cellars Viognier Santa Barbara County 2023
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$19.79 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% premium<1%
Marcel Couturier Pouilly Loche 2018
white · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Grosse Pierre Claudius Chiroubles 2019
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$14.03 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fess Parker Ashley Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2023
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$37.99 $42.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$52.43 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Dancing Crow Vineyards Old Stake 1901 Cabernet Sauvignon Lake County 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.13 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Silverado Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$12.93 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Lothian of Elgin Pinot Noir 2021
red · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Charvin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$44.99 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Feudi di San Gregorio Taurasi 2019
red · 750 ml
$48.99——Fairly priced1%
Tendril Cellars Childs Play Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Trimbach Reserve Muscat Alsace 2021
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Di Giovanna V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2022
red · Sicily · 3000 ml
$31.99▲ 6.7%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine FL La Fremine Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2019
white · Loire · 750 ml
$10.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 1500 ml
$32.93 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cuvaison Chardonnay Carneros
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 0.0%▲ 20.0%Fairly priced5%
Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saracina Soul of Mendocino Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 $26.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced15%
typically +5% if it rises
Walter Hansel Cahill Lane Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$30.53 $57.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Auntsfield Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020
red · Marlborough · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Acclivity Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
King Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.43 $31.19 Clearance 0.0%▲ 11.4%Fairly priced2%
Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—34% premium<1%
Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ixsir Grande Reserve Red 2017
red · 750 ml
$18.03 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2020
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$10.93 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bouchaine Estate Chardonnay Carneros 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Maquis Lien Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$18.03 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$10.93 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2019
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1500 ml
$27.99 0.0%—34% premium<1%
Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Manzanilla 5 Year Sherry
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Boedecker Cellars Stewart Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello Banfi Rosso di Montalcino
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$30.49▲ 1.7%▲ 22.0%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
ColleMassari Montecucco Rosso Riserva 2019
red · 750 ml
$25.99——Fairly priced<1%
Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,851–1,900 of 2,525← PreviousNext →