Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lake Sonoma Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Rioja Alta Tempranillo Vina Aran Rioja Gran Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan 100 Abades Graciano Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Margherita Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 32% premium | 1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luca Old Vine Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill AJT Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Andersen Vally 2022 red · 750 ml | $33.03 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
| Crossbarn Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Charvin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Viognier Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
| Marcel Couturier Pouilly Loche 2018 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Grosse Pierre Claudius Chiroubles 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.03 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $37.99 $42.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Old Stake 1901 Cabernet Sauvignon Lake County 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Charvin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Taurasi 2019 red · 750 ml | $48.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Muscat Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2022 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $31.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine FL La Fremine Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvaison Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saracina Soul of Mendocino Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +5% if it rises |
| Walter Hansel Cahill Lane Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $30.53 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auntsfield Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acclivity Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.43 $31.19 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ixsir Grande Reserve Red 2017 red · 750 ml | $18.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bouchaine Estate Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maquis Lien Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Darons by Jeff Carrel Languedoc Rouge 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1500 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Manzanilla 5 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Stewart Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Banfi Rosso di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.49 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 22.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| ColleMassari Montecucco Rosso Riserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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