Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Lavinea Pinot Noir Elton Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—24% below<1%
Le Marquis de Calon Segur St Estephe 2021
red · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Les Griffons de Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$21.93 $70.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Liquid Farm Chardonnay White Hill Santa Rita Hills 2021
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$24.03 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon 2021
red · 750 ml
$11.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—128% premium<1%
Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—54% premium<1%
North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Open Claim Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$20.93 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Panthera Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$23.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022
white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Philippe Le Hardi Chardonnay Bourgogne Vieilles Vignes 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2017
dessert · 500 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2018
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$10.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ridgecrest Estate Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sequoia Grove Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Seven Hills Merlot Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley Estate 2022
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$20.99 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—41% premium<1%
TOP SOURCE Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Teofilo Reyes Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2019
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$7.93 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Two Vintners Winery Grenache Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Two Vintners Winery Syrah Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Two Vintners Winery Zinfandel Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.23 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Val di Suga Brunello di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$44.99 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vidal Fleury Condrieu 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—103% premium<1%
Voliero Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$21.93 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
WALT Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Aperture Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021
white · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard BV Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.59 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Private Reserve Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$26.73 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Boscarelli Sotto Casa Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2015
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$37.43 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—77% premium<1%
Carpineta Fontalpino Do Ut Des Toscana Rosso 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Charles Smith Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$23.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$26.93 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lagrange Les Arums de Lagrange Bordeaux Blanc 2021
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.13 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—92% premium<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$22.43 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Charvin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$44.99 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$20.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%29% below<1%
Domaine Eric et Joel Durand Premices Cornas 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.93 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.43 $65.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ferrari Carano Reserve Chardonnay Carneros 2021
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2020
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.19 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,851–1,900 of 2,215← PreviousNext →