Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Outerbound Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Outerbound Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.43 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paitin Barbaresco Serraboella 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paitin Serraboella Barbaresco 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Pali Wine Co Chardonnay Huber Vineyard Santa Rita Hills 2015
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pali Wine Co Highlands Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2017
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Palmaris Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Palmaris Red Reserve Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Panthera Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$23.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Panthera Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Paola Sordo Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—63% below<1%
Paolo Scavino Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2022
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$22.43 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—41% premium<1%
Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2023
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—42% premium<1%
Paso d'Oro Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $27.99 Sale 0.0%—90% premium11%
typically +5% if it rises
Pasquale Pelissero Barbaresco Bricco San Giuliano 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Patrick Noel Sancerre Blanc 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Patrick Noel Sancerre Rouge 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Patton Valley Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$25.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Patz and Hall Bootlegger's Hill Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Patz and Hall Chardonnay Sonoma Coast
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%▼ 12.5%Fairly priced12%
typically +6% if it rises
Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2025
white · Loire · 750 ml
$27.99——Fairly priced1%
Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021
white · Sonoma · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$20.73 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paul Jourdan Reserve des Oliviers Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020
white · Rhone · 750 ml
$22.43 $29.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Paula Kornell Blanc de Noir Methode Champenoise Napa Valley 2018
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pazo Senorans Albarino Rias Baixas 2024
white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml
$32.99——77% premium<1%
Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Champagne Grand Cru
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$62.99 0.0%—Fairly priced17%
typically +6% if it rises
Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Rose Champagne Grand Cru
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$69.99 $74.99 Sale——Fairly priced11%
typically +6% if it rises
Peju Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$66.49 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +5% if it rises
Peju Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley Legacy Collection
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$25.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +6% if it rises
Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz Australia 2021
red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$29.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2020
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2022
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$30.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022
white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Australia 2023
white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 51 Riesling Eden Valley 2024
white · Barossa · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz 2020
red · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz California 2019
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—53% below1%
Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—53% below<1%
Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$42.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—54% below1%
Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013
white · 375 ml
$8.73 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Perrier Jouet Champagne Grand Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99 $64.99 Sale▼ 7.1%▲ 20.4%31% below15%
typically +7% if it rises
1,851–1,900 of 2,525← PreviousNext →