Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Petit Chablis 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $26.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mitravelas White on Grey Dry White 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta de Gomariz Vinho Verde Loureiro 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Riesling Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barone Fini Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chaddsford Winery White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rieslingfreak No 33 Riesling Clare Valley 2023 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot on Tap Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Chardonnay Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fish Eye Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rickshaw Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sierra Del Mar Chardonnay Clarksburg 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Briganti Pinot Grigio d'Abruzzo 2026 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cuvee Clemence Entre Deux Mers Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Morgan Metallico Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands Unoaked 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Butcher's Daughter Sauvignon Blanc Pays DOc 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | ▲ 20.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Tourmaline Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saracina Unoaked Chardonnay Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Federalist Hamilton Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $15.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cole Cellars Sauvignon Blanc California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frenzy Mount Richmond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shade Mountain Vineyards Anniversary White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sun Soaked Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Anthony Road Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Bitner Estate Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gildas Cormerais Muscadet Sevre et Maine sur Lie 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Pinson Mont de Milieu Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.73 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Touraine Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firefly Ridge Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frenzy Mount Richmond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden California Chardonnay 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | <1% |
| Recanati Chardonnay Galilee 2022 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Calcada Vinho Verde Blanc 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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