Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Robert Oatley G 19 Grenache McLaren Vale 2019
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rutherford Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.83 $49.89 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.9%Fairly priced1%
Ryan Patrick Redhead Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Time Waits for No One Monastrell Jumilla 2016
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Valdemar Inspiracion Rioja 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bully Hill Vineyards Walter S Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%▲ 36.9%Fairly priced5%
Casa Natal Reserva Malbec Mendoza 2018
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2024
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$13.99 $14.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2019
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elmo Pio Sweet Red Brachetto
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.23 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced1%
Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$53.99 $89.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria 2017
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Carolina Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Reserva 2022
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Sealionne Kilig Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trapiche Broquel Malbec
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 0.0%▲ 13.3%Fairly priced5%
Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$192 $640 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos du Bois Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▼ 6.3% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +4% if it rises
Pierre Marie Chermette Origine Vieilles Vignes Beaujolais Rouge 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$10.03 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Round Pond Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Straccali Chianti
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.49 $10.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Torbreck the Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$54.99——Fairly priced1%
Alain and Christophe Le Capitaine Cuvee Adrien Vouvray Demi Sec 2021
red · Loire · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine du Cros Lo Sang del Pais Marcillac 2022
red · 750 ml
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vina Valoria Reserva 2016
red · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bolla Valpolicella
red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $11.99 Sale▲ 5.3%▲ 33.4%Fairly priced3%
Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Orcia Sangiovese 2022
red · 750 ml
$8.39 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Benoit Gautier Argilex Vouvray 2023
red · Loire · 750 ml
$19.99——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pesquie Edition 1912M Ventoux Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lamole di Lamole Chianti Classico
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
Bodegas Y Vinedos Valderiz Ribera del Duero 2020
red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Paillet Quancard Cotes De Bordeaux
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 $13.49 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced4%
Dark Horse Double Down Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99▲ 8.3%▲ 30.0%Fairly priced2%
First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa 2021
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$17.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 $22.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.5%Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2020
red · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Manzanos Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2014
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$22.43 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas CARO Amancaya Reserva Red Blend Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Corbett Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 5.9%Fairly priced1%
Creative Juice Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.43 $7.29 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced3%
Educated Guess Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99——Fairly priced1%
Finca Nueva Tempranillo Rioja Crianza 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.93 $68.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +10% if it rises
Ruhlmann Cuvee Mosaique Pinot Noir Alsace 2021
red · Alsace · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ventisquero Grey Glacier Cabernet Sauvignon Trinidad Vineyard Single Block Maipo 2021
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$7.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,851–1,900 of 5,705← PreviousNext →