Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Oatley G 19 Grenache McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.83 $49.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ryan Patrick Redhead Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time Waits for No One Monastrell Jumilla 2016 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valdemar Inspiracion Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Walter S Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Casa Natal Reserva Malbec Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2024 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Sweet Red Brachetto red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.99 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria 2017 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Reserva 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sealionne Kilig Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trapiche Broquel Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $192 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Origine Vieilles Vignes Beaujolais Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Round Pond Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Straccali Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck the Struie Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alain and Christophe Le Capitaine Cuvee Adrien Vouvray Demi Sec 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Cros Lo Sang del Pais Marcillac 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Reserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Double Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Orcia Sangiovese 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benoit Gautier Argilex Vouvray 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pesquie Edition 1912M Ventoux Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamole di Lamole Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Valderiz Ribera del Duero 2020 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Paillet Quancard Cotes De Bordeaux red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dark Horse Double Down Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manzanos Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas CARO Amancaya Reserva Red Blend Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corbett Canyon Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Creative Juice Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Educated Guess Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Finca Nueva Tempranillo Rioja Crianza 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Ruhlmann Cuvee Mosaique Pinot Noir Alsace 2021 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ventisquero Grey Glacier Cabernet Sauvignon Trinidad Vineyard Single Block Maipo 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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