Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Laporte Le Rochoy Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gavalas Assyrtico Santorini 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flowers Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ployez Jacquemart Champagne Extra Quality Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Porta 6 Vinho Branco Lisboa Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Viile Budureasca SRL Budureasca Orange Wine 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gamble Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vireton Pinot Noir By Archery Summit Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Caceres Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | 1% |
| Scharffenberger Brut Rose Mendocino County sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ferrari Carano Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.09 $29.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 30% premium | 4% |
| GoGi Goldie Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2018 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Sagrantino 2015 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Willems Willems Riesling Feinherb Auf de Lauer 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Joguet Cuvee Terroir Chinon 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kevin White Winery La Fraternite Red Blend Yakima Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $29.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Chateau de Nalys Chateauneuf du Pape 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.93 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oberon Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.19 $31.19 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ram's Gate Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Antinori Chianti Classico Riserva 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Bookwalter Protagonist Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.73 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Yamhill Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Castiglione Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe McDaniels Chenin Blanc Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Chateauneuf du Pape Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Clos Mireille Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $49.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 1% |
| Philippe Le Hardi Chardonnay Bourgogne Vieilles Vignes 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Fleur Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cornerstone Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Benchlands Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.33 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa a Sesta Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Long Shadows Chester Kidder Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Executivo 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,801–1,850 of 2,525← PreviousNext →