Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Christophe Thorigny Vouvray Sec 2022
red · Loire · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Bertand Les Petits Bois Moulin a Vent 2018
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$13.79 $22.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Durand Sancerre Blanc 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$14.73 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Freixenet Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +7% if it rises
Goose Ridge G3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Misha?s Vineyard The Starlet Sauvignon Blanc Central Otago 2021
white · 750 ml
$10.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Underwood Pinot Noir Oregon 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vignerons de Puisseguin Lussac Peraclos Montagne Saint Emilion 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$12.99——Fairly priced1%
Wairau River Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Argento Malbec Mendoza
red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%▼ 18.8%Fairly priced1%
Battle Creek Unconditional Pinot Noir Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.63 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bodegas Ego EL GORU Red Blend Jumilla
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced11%
typically +10% if it rises
Chateau Haut Lalande Grand Vin Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cockburn's Porto Branco Fine White Port
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 $15.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced11%
typically +6% if it rises
David Finlayson Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2021
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Durand Sancerre Blanc 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dominio Los Pinos 0 Percent Tinto 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dominio de la Granadilla Verdejo Rueda 2021
white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$4.13 $14.39 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Oaks
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.33 $10.39 Clearance 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced1%
J Wilkes Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2018
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mystic Andes Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2021
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$12.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Quinta do Regueiro Vinho Verde 2021
white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.89 0.0%▲ 14.8%Fairly priced5%
Gillmore Mariposa Red Blend Chile 2020
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$8.13 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Scotto Family Cellars Reserve Zinfandel Mohr Fry Ranch Lodi 2019
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Underwood Pinot Noir Oregon 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cape Original Cabernet Sauvignon Western Cape 2022
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Rose Colchagua Valley Estate 2021
rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Educated Guess Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$6.93 $22.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Franklin Hill Vineyards Sir Walter's Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced4%
Punset Barbera d'Alba 2022
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Riunite Lambrusco Rose
sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.13 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 16.7%Fairly priced1%
Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Bernardus Chardonnay Monterey County 2020
white · Monterey · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chasing Rain Red Mountain Red Blend 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$22.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dunham Cellars Trutina Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Girasole Vineyards Pinot Blanc Mendocino County 2021
white · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Mazza Vineyards Country Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0%▲ 22.2%Fairly priced5%
Noble Vines 181 Merlot Lodi
red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49▲ 3.8%▲ 3.8%Fairly priced3%
Sawmill Creek Vidal Blanc Ice Wine Canada 2018
dessert · 375 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Yori Wine Cellars Beach Glass Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.13 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Chauveau Les Croqloups Pouilly Fume 2021
white · Loire · 750 ml
$22.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Chezatte Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux du Giennois 2024
white · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Feudi di San Gregorio Primitivo di Manduria 2017
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mercer Bros Chardonnay Horse Heaven Hills 2019
white · Washington · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Regaleali Bianco Sicilia 2022
white · Sicily · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bellemare Picpoul de Pinet 2023
red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2021
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,801–1,850 of 6,416← PreviousNext →