Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Cadeau Estate Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Macon Villages Chardonnay white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| MAN Family Wines Free Run Steen Chenin Blanc Coastal Region 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 5% premium | <1% |
| Natura Organic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pam's Chardonnay Unoaked 2021 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasci Trebbiano d'Abruzzo 2022 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Redwood Highway Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Villa Maria Private Bin Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Alexakis Assyrtiko Crete 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BR Cohn Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Pinot Noir Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loveblock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| te Pa Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Brotte Baies Dorees Viognier Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Galharda Vinho Branco Douro 2020 white · Douro · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Seaswept White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Smoking Loon Chardonnay Steelbird Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Alki Bubbly White Ancient Lakes of Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chalk Hill Estate Bottled Chardonnay Chalk Hill Appellation Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cycles Gladiator Sauvignon Blanc California 2020 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pacific Rim Sweet Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 5% premium | 3% |
| Skinnygirl Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Conti Torraiolo Trebbiano Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saurus Sauvignon Blanc Patagonia 2023 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stel Mar Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 5% premium | 1% |
| Briganti Pinot Grigio d'Abruzzo white · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Qupe Chardonnay Y Block Santa Barbara County 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Ema El Cruce Select Terroir Sauvignon Blanc Maipo Valley white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Schlink Haus Riesling Nahe Kabinett 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Tangerine Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Trumpeter Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 1000 Stories Bourbon Barrel Aged Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos des Lunes Lune d'Argent Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Sauvignon Blanc white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Pauly Bergweiler Bernkasteler Badstube Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,801–1,850 of 2,882← PreviousNext →