Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Limestone Coast 2021
red · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Tour de Segur Lussac Saint Emilion 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$7.73 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Les Prarons Dessus Santenay Rouge 2017
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$22.53 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Bourgueil 2022
red · Loire · 750 ml
$5.93 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
First Drop Mother's Ruin Cabernet Sauvignon McLauren Vale 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Greenock Creek Stone Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2010
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Metier Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$10.73 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Seaglass Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced1%
Walla Walla Vintners Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barone Ricasoli Chianti Classico Castello di Brolio 2010
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Herencia Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2023
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$10.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Enguera Green Merits Tempranillo Bobal 2023
red · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.73 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 6.7%Fairly priced1%
Chateau Liversan Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$10.73 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2021
red · 750 ml
$19.19 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Scolca Gavi 2022
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$37.43 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mongarda Glera Colli Trevigiani Col Fondo 2019
red · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced3%
Calculated Risk Barrel Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Pinot Noir Mercurey 1er Cru 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.19 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fattoria le Pupile Morrelino di Scansano 2023
red · 750 ml
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ruffino Ducale Chianti Classico Riserva
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $24.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced4%
The Hare and The Tortise Pinot Noir Yarra Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The McNab by Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon McNab Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2021
red · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Bersano Mirage Gavi di Gavi 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
First Drop Wines Mother's Ruin Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2018
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Il Molino di Grace Chianti Classico Riserva 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$7.23 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Monterey County Aged in Bourbon Barrels
red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced4%
Silver Trail Pinot Noir Lodi 2021
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$10.99——Fairly priced<1%
Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017
red · Monterey · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Angels and Cowboys Proprietary Red Blend Sonoma County 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Daviaud Bordeaux Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$56.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Christophe Mittnacht Gyotaku 2023
red · 750 ml
$7.93 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Konstantin Frank Gewurtztraminer Finger Lakes 2023
red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml
$6.03 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Old Vine Red Lot 72 California
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Quinta DE S Sebastiao Arreio Lisboa Reserva 2021
red · 750 ml
$7.23 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$41.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Piccini Sasso al Poggio Rosso Toscana 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$13.99——Fairly priced1%
Volker Eisele Family Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Proprietary Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.49▲ 2.8%▼ 2.6%Fairly priced5%
typically +5% if it rises
Alamos Red Wine Blend Mendoza
red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 16.7%Fairly priced1%
Bodega Renacer Milamore Amarone Red Blend Mendoza 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cantina Valle Tritana Verdicchio di Matelica 2019
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cavaliere d'Oro Gabbiano Chianti
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $12.99 Sale▲ 14.0%▲ 44.5%Fairly priced2%
King Estate Pinot Noir Inscription Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.13 $22.89 Clearance 0.0%▲ 14.5%Fairly priced1%
1,801–1,850 of 5,705← PreviousNext →