Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bec Hardy Garden Series Cabernet Sauvignon Limestone Coast 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Tour de Segur Lussac Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Les Prarons Dessus Santenay Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Cuvee Alouettes Bourgueil 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Mother's Ruin Cabernet Sauvignon McLauren Vale 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenock Creek Stone Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2010 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Metier Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seaglass Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barone Ricasoli Chianti Classico Castello di Brolio 2010 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herencia Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Enguera Green Merits Tempranillo Bobal 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Liversan Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Scolca Gavi 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mongarda Glera Colli Trevigiani Col Fondo 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Calculated Risk Barrel Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Pinot Noir Mercurey 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fattoria le Pupile Morrelino di Scansano 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruffino Ducale Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Hare and The Tortise Pinot Noir Yarra Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The McNab by Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon McNab Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2021 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bersano Mirage Gavi di Gavi 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Wines Mother's Ruin Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2018 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Molino di Grace Chianti Classico Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Monterey County Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Silver Trail Pinot Noir Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angels and Cowboys Proprietary Red Blend Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Daviaud Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Christophe Mittnacht Gyotaku 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Gewurtztraminer Finger Lakes 2023 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Old Vine Red Lot 72 California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quinta DE S Sebastiao Arreio Lisboa Reserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piccini Sasso al Poggio Rosso Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Volker Eisele Family Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Proprietary Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 2.8% | ▼ 2.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Alamos Red Wine Blend Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodega Renacer Milamore Amarone Red Blend Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Verdicchio di Matelica 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavaliere d'Oro Gabbiano Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 14.0% | ▲ 44.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Inscription Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
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